5k1.1 On Federal Mail Fraud

[whitecollarben]

I am pending sentencing on 3 Counts of Mail Fraud which is only about $8,500 per the indictment. With all the relevant conduct the loss is being counted at around $120,000 with less than 50 victims which puts me at a level 19 on the offense level because it was through mass marketing (telemarketing). I was on bail for an unrelated charge at the time of my offense and have 4 other previous charges with sentences of less than 60 days each. So I am at a level 3 criminal history. I am providing a 5k1.1 assistance to the prosecution and investigators and from what I understand they are very pleased with my help. I am looking at a 27-33 month sentence after my acceptance of responsibility (level 16). What is the chance of getting a probation sentence or some kind of split sentence of halfway house and house arrest or something like that? I have been out on pretrial release for over two years and have been a model citizen. I am fully employed, have a family for whom I am the sole financial support for. I do volunteer work, attend a church in my area and go to 12 step meetings for my addictions on a regular basis. I have tons of people including clergy, drug counselors, my employer and family members whom are willing to forward the judge letters of what kind of person I am now. Does anyone have experience with the federal court in similar circumstances and came out of it favorably?